講座題目:My Research regarding trade and shipping development under One Belt One Road Initiative
講座時(shí)間:11月24日上午10:00-11:00
講座地點(diǎn):物流樓430
講 ?座 人:?楊冬 ??博士 ?香港理工大學(xué)助理教授
個(gè)人介紹:
楊冬,日本神戶大學(xué)博士,香港理工大學(xué)工商管理學(xué)院助理教授,國際航運(yùn)及物流管理學(xué)理學(xué)碩士課程總監(jiān)。任現(xiàn)職前,先后在南丹麥大學(xué)航運(yùn)系、新加坡國立大學(xué)海運(yùn)研究中心、交通運(yùn)輸部水運(yùn)科學(xué)研究院物流中心擔(dān)任助理教授、研究員和副研究員,兼任亞太港口服務(wù)組織(亞太經(jīng)合組織下屬旨在促進(jìn)亞太地區(qū)港口協(xié)同發(fā)展的地區(qū)性組織)項(xiàng)目部主任。楊博士最近的主要研究方向包括:大數(shù)據(jù)在航運(yùn)市場的應(yīng)用、鐵礦石海運(yùn)經(jīng)濟(jì)分析、海運(yùn)政策分析、航運(yùn)市場競爭和合作、貿(mào)易預(yù)測(cè)、海陸多式聯(lián)運(yùn)、北極航運(yùn)等等。楊冬博士主持和參與過多個(gè)國內(nèi)外科研項(xiàng)目。主持過亞太經(jīng)合組織資助項(xiàng)目兩項(xiàng)、交通部及地方交通廳、港口項(xiàng)目多項(xiàng)。2016年作為聯(lián)合國咨詢顧問,主持了聯(lián)合國亞太經(jīng)會(huì)社(ESCAP)“促進(jìn)亞洲及拉丁美洲資源貿(mào)易便利化”項(xiàng)目。在交通部水運(yùn)院工作期間,楊冬博士代表交通部多次出席亞太經(jīng)合組織交通工作組會(huì)議及雙邊會(huì)談,如中丹海運(yùn)會(huì)談。具備充足的實(shí)踐經(jīng)驗(yàn)。?
楊冬博士在《Journal of transport geography》、《Transportation Science》、《Transportation Research Part E》、《Transportation Research Part A》、《Accident Analysis & Prevention》、《Maritime Policy & Management》、《Maritime Economics & Logistics》等等SCI/SSCI學(xué)術(shù)期刊發(fā)表論文多篇。其中,論文《數(shù)據(jù)聚合對(duì)于國際貨運(yùn)交通模式選擇預(yù)測(cè)結(jié)果影響的探索性研究》榮獲2012年世界海運(yùn)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)會(huì)年會(huì)最佳論文獎(jiǎng)。楊冬博士是超過20個(gè)SSCI/SCI期刊和國際會(huì)議的論文審稿人及《Transport Policy》的客座編輯,同時(shí)還擔(dān)任2016香港一帶一路下物流與海事研究國際會(huì)議分會(huì)主席,第5屆物流與海事國際會(huì)議組委會(huì)委員, 2017年世界海運(yùn)經(jīng)濟(jì)協(xié)會(huì)年會(huì)學(xué)術(shù)委員會(huì)委員,分會(huì)主席等職務(wù)。曾受邀在丹麥Nordea公司,亞太經(jīng)合組織多個(gè)研討會(huì),太平洋經(jīng)濟(jì)合作組織多個(gè)研討會(huì),國際港口經(jīng)濟(jì)和海運(yùn)物流會(huì)議,香港海運(yùn)周,包括上海交大,山東大學(xué),大連海事大學(xué),中國海洋大學(xué)等等多個(gè)大學(xué)做過多次關(guān)于航運(yùn)港口方面研究的主題演講。
講座摘要:With the launch of the One Belt One Road (OBOR) initiative in 2013, China has the ambitious goal of transforming regional political and economic landscapes over the coming decades by building a ‘Silk Road Economic Belt’ and a ‘21st Century Maritime Silk Road’. Massive investments into these infrastructure networks have already taken place. For the land-based routes, eleven Chinese cities have successively opened direct railway container services to European cities, and most of these services are enjoying subsidies from the local governments. For the oceangoing routes, in recent years Cosco Pacific Limited has continued to invest heavily in the Port of Piraeus (Greece), transforming it into an important hub port in Southern Europe. Against this background, one of my research compared the performance of two emerging routes connecting the East Asia and Europe developed under the One Belt One Road Initiative with the traditional Sea-Land route. The route performance under current status and possible future scenarios have been intensively discussed and the results provide strong managerial and political implications on the choice criteria and route preference considered by different target groups. Another research of mine explored the coping strategy for Chinese liner shipping companies, taking into consideration of the impact of the rail development in East Europe and New Eurasian land bridge. A bi-level optimization model is established to realize this objective with real data collected from COSCO, the giant Chinese shipping liner. Furthermore, under the Belt and Road initiatives, more Free Trade Agreements are expected to be concluded and more Free Trade Zones will be established, it is expected that the effective import tariff rate may continue to decrease in the future. My co-authors and I have also conducted an analysis on the impact of further reduction in Chinese import tariff rate on major economic indicators using a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model and based on the Chinese macro-economic data of 2012. In this presentation, I will briefly introduce these three researches conducted by my co-authors and me to address the trade and shipping development under One belt and One Road Initiative.?